Why Drafting a Successful N.F.L. Quarterback Remains ‘an Inexact Science’

The NFL franchise quarterback — the highly coveted symbol of hope, cornerstone of championship aspirations, difference between irrelevance and immortality — is also the rarest of breeds.

Don’t call it tanking, but desperate organizations abandon win-at-all-cost principles with the goal of landing an elite passing prospect with one of the top picks in the NFL Draft. Other quarterback-needy teams routinely mortgage future resources to improve draft positioning. But despite NFL decision-makers’ robust resumes as talent evaluators and extensive research — countless hours of game film, interviews and a gamut of measurables and grading tools — drafting a franchise quarterback remains one of the most challenging exercises they will ever execute.

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